RLFANS.COM
Celebrating
23 years service to
the Rugby League
Community!

Everyone except the Batley squad and coaches and perhaps the most diehard/deluded of supporters expected that Sunday’s game at the Millennium Stadium against Featherstone Rovers would be a game too far for the plucky part-timers from deep in heavy woollen country.

Their incredible win, leading from the first points of the game until the relieving final hooter, set up a trip to the Leigh Sports Village, to take on Leigh Centurions, in the Million Pound Game for the right to play their 2023 rugby in the Super League.

But the Bulldogs have no chance of winning, absolutely zero, not a prayer, a snow ball´s chance in hell. We take a look at the probablility Leigh will be the ones celebrating on Sunday evening.

There are several measures we can look at to give us an idea of the likely outcome on Sunday.

The sides have met twice in the regular season and it didn´t pan out too well for the West Yorkshire side. In May they lost 52-0 when they took on Leigh at Mount Pleasant, in the return fixture a fortnight ago, the last regular round game, they at least managed a score in going down by 64-6. An average across the two games would hint at a massive win for the home side by a score line of 58-3. On this season´s head-to-heads, Batley will be lucky to get over the whitewash once.

Leigh have had an extraordinary season and during the regular rounds, losing just once while averaging just over 48 points a game, and while conceding an average of just under eight. Batley on the other hand won 18 of their games scoring an average of 27 points per game while conceding 20. Comparing the two attacks would suggest that Leigh will win by 48-27, while a direct comparison between defences would again see Batley lose by 20-8.

´You´ll never meet a poor bookie´ as the saying goes. The bookmaker is rarely wrong, and on this occasion the competitions sponsor Betfred are giving the Batley Bulldogs a thirty-six point start on the handicap coupon and have set their odds of winning the game at 10/1, Leigh being massive favourites at 1/40. If we were betting men, then we´d have our 50p on Leigh with the handicap at 5/6.

So it looks like mission impossible for Batley Bulldogs and even if they could field Ethan Hunt in the half backs it is very difficult to find anyone who thinks that they can do it. There is no romance in the game. Our analysis above leads us to expect/predict a score line clearly to the advantage of the Leigh Centurions and if you were to twist our arm on a precise result then we´d go for 48-6.

But this is sport, and in sport the unthinkable can happen, albeit in a very small number of cases. Brian McDermott´s resignation as Featherstone coach has showed the price of failure, and Adrian Lam will be guarding against a similar fate as he plans meticulously to ensure that his side don´t fall at the last hurdle and gift an impossible victory to the biggest underdogs of all time, the Bulldogs.

We just hope that Batley will give Leigh a game and it won´t all be over inside the first twenty minutes.




facebook sharing button
twitter sharing button
pinterest sharing button
email sharing button
sharethis sharing button


Posted by RLFANS News Hound on Fri 30th Sep 2022 4:49 PM | Views : 5849 | Replies : 0 | BACK TO STORIES
RLFANS Recent Posts
FORUM
LAST
POST
TOPIC
POSTER
POSTS
5m
BORED The Band Name Game
Boss Hog
35202
8m
Renouf Atoni
vastman
101
8m
Confirmed 2023 squad
Binosh
108
9m
Game - Song Titles 20212
Boss Hog
17870
11m
Rebrand
BigTime
29
11m
Shares for sale in Trinity
upthetrin92
7
15m
Wardle and King
Zig
5
42m
IN 2023 Nene MacDonald - Expires 2024
Emagdnim13
50
FORUM
LAST
VIEW
TOPIC
POSTER
POSTS
47s
Confirmed 2023 squad
Binosh
108
47s
Rebrand
BigTime
29
1m
NEW DEAL Cameron Smith - Expires 2026
Trebor1
10
1m
Wardle and King
Zig
5
1m
Pre season
Mild Rover
123
2m
Announcements
RfE
89
3m
Rumours and signings v9
apollosghost
24853
3m
Squad complete Whats your starting 13 4
ratticusfinc
42
3m
an evening with barrie macdermott
Sir Gregory
9
3m
BORED The Band Name Game
Boss Hog
35202
FORUM
NEW
TOPICS
TOPIC
POSTER
POSTS
TODAY
Shares for sale in Trinity
upthetrin92
7
TODAY
Wardle and King
Zig
5
TODAY
Squad numbers
vastman
8
TODAY
NEW DEAL Cameron Smith - Expires 2026
Trebor1
10
TODAY
Faz and Giz
Dai Jones
7
TODAY
anyone work in banking advice needed
Maccbull_Big
2
TODAY
JD in the Bye round
musson
24
TODAY
cas
Trojan Horse
4
TODAY
Andrew Farrell RIP
Durham Giant
3
TODAY
Eddie Jones to RL
Egg Chasing
5
NEWS ITEMS
VIEWS
Australia World Champions Agai..
5848
Jillaroos Demolish the Ferns t..
1773
England Beat France in Nail-bi..
2730
New Zealand Ferns Final Bound ..
1624
Australia Power Into Womens Fi..
1750
Samoa Into the Final As Englis..
1814
Australia Squeeze Into The Fin..
4545
Jilleroos Scrape Home Against ..
2068
Cook Islands Sign Off With Vic..
2655
England 19-man squad for RLWC ..
2554
St Helens to face Penrith Pant..
2497
England Top Group A With Big W..
2217
Canada End World Cup With Tigh..
2007
Record Breaking Masterclass fr..
3234
Ferns Win As Cooks Score First..
2540
RLFANS Match Centre
Matches on TV
Thu 16th Feb
SL-M
20:00
Warrington-Leeds
Fri 17th Feb
SL-M
20:00
Leigh-Salford
Sat 18th Feb
SL-M
13:00
Hull KR-Wigan
WCC2023
07:00
Penrith-St.Helens
Thu 23rd Feb
SL-M
20:00
Salford-Hull KR
Fri 24th Feb
SL-M
20:00
Leeds-Hull FC
Sun 26th Feb
SL-M
13:00
Castleford-St.Helens
Thu 2nd Mar
SL-M
20:00
Warrington-Salford
Fri 3rd Mar
SL-M
20:00
St.Helens-Leeds
Thu 9th Mar
SL-M
20:00
Wigan-Catalans
Fri 10th Mar
SL-M
20:00
Huddersfield-Castleford
This is an inplay table and live positions can change.
Mens Betfred Super League XXVIII ROUND : 1
 PLDFADIFFPTS
Wigan 0 0 0 0 0
Hull FC 0 0 0 0 0
Catalans 0 0 0 0 0
Huddersfield 0 0 0 0 0
Leigh 0 0 0 0 0
St.Helens 0 0 0 0 0
 
Castleford 0 0 0 0 0
Wakefield 0 0 0 0 0
Leeds 0 0 0 0 0
Hull KR 0 0 0 0 0
Warrington 0 0 0 0 0
Salford 0 0 0 0 0
RLFANS Recent Posts
FORUM
LAST
POST
TOPIC
POSTER
POSTS
5m
BORED The Band Name Game
Boss Hog
35202
8m
Renouf Atoni
vastman
101
8m
Confirmed 2023 squad
Binosh
108
9m
Game - Song Titles 20212
Boss Hog
17870
11m
Rebrand
BigTime
29
11m
Shares for sale in Trinity
upthetrin92
7
15m
Wardle and King
Zig
5
42m
IN 2023 Nene MacDonald - Expires 2024
Emagdnim13
50
FORUM
LAST
VIEW
TOPIC
POSTER
POSTS
47s
Confirmed 2023 squad
Binosh
108
47s
Rebrand
BigTime
29
1m
NEW DEAL Cameron Smith - Expires 2026
Trebor1
10
1m
Wardle and King
Zig
5
1m
Pre season
Mild Rover
123
2m
Announcements
RfE
89
3m
Rumours and signings v9
apollosghost
24853
3m
Squad complete Whats your starting 13 4
ratticusfinc
42
3m
an evening with barrie macdermott
Sir Gregory
9
3m
BORED The Band Name Game
Boss Hog
35202
FORUM
NEW
TOPICS
TOPIC
POSTER
POSTS
TODAY
Shares for sale in Trinity
upthetrin92
7
TODAY
Wardle and King
Zig
5
TODAY
Squad numbers
vastman
8
TODAY
NEW DEAL Cameron Smith - Expires 2026
Trebor1
10
TODAY
Faz and Giz
Dai Jones
7
TODAY
anyone work in banking advice needed
Maccbull_Big
2
TODAY
JD in the Bye round
musson
24
TODAY
cas
Trojan Horse
4
TODAY
Andrew Farrell RIP
Durham Giant
3
TODAY
Eddie Jones to RL
Egg Chasing
5
NEWS ITEMS
VIEWS
Australia World Champions Agai..
5848
Jillaroos Demolish the Ferns t..
1773
England Beat France in Nail-bi..
2730
New Zealand Ferns Final Bound ..
1624
Australia Power Into Womens Fi..
1750
Samoa Into the Final As Englis..
1814
Australia Squeeze Into The Fin..
4545
Jilleroos Scrape Home Against ..
2068
Cook Islands Sign Off With Vic..
2655
England 19-man squad for RLWC ..
2554
St Helens to face Penrith Pant..
2497
England Top Group A With Big W..
2217
Canada End World Cup With Tigh..
2007
Record Breaking Masterclass fr..
3234
Ferns Win As Cooks Score First..
2540


Visit the RLFANS.COM SHOP
for more merchandise!